MLB Preview - 10/12
We don’t have pitchers for any of the NL games yet, so we’ll just look at CHW/HOU and I’ll post anything on the others to twitter tomorrow. I’ll post the full results and YTD to twitter once the LAD game is final.
The Game: HOU (McCullers) +107 @ CHW (Rodon) -115 t8.5
The Play: HOU ML +107
The Side: I made HOU -110 here, so I’ll take them as a dog. This line rates McCullers pretty poorly and I don’t agree with that. I’ll keep him rated the same as he was for Game 1 and don’t see the need for any adjustment. I also don’t mind fading CHW with this Rodon situation either. There’s no telling what CHW is going to get out of Rodon and I think that won’t work out well for CHW.
The Total: I made this 8.43 so the 8.5 is right on my number.
I’ll Say It Even If It Doesn’t Matter:
McCullers was dominant in G1. Rodon gave up 1 run in 14 innings against HOU in June/July. Since June/July, Rodon’s avg fastball velo has dropped from 96.7 to 92.9. He’s not the same pitcher here.
Exact Prediction: I got HOU pretty big here. I’ll make it 7-2 HOU. I don’t think I’ve hit one of these yet anyway.